Michel Saloff Coste
In our last post, we presented the Club of Budapest led to the declaration on the State Emergency World . This association has mission as an emerging global consciousness based on such interconnection of cultures and integrating spirituality, science and arts. The specificity of the Club of Budapest - and originality - is the systems approach which builds and reveals the connection between the evolution of consciousness, models and strategies to implement for the twenty-first century.
painter, photographer, filmmaker, writer, teacher and consultant, Michel Saloff Coste has a multimedia and multidisciplinary. In 1995 he took the initiative in the founding of the Club of Budapest in France. In 2007, under the aegis of the Club of Budapest France, he founded the University Ultimate . Michel Saloff Coste
is the author of " The Management of the third millennium " published in 1991 and reissued several times. This book became one of the books foresight, strategy and management of reference in France. Thinking of Michel Saloff Coste led him to propose a general theory of systems of representation based on an analysis of human evolution into four main types of civilization: the Hunt Collection, Agriculture Farming, Industry, Commerce and Communication Design.
The mutation is not contemporary, he said, comparable to a new avatar of the industrial revolution but must be understood as a real change of civilization: the passage of the "era of industry and commerce" to "the era of creation and communication." The Blog Michel Saloff Coste brings together all of its activities, past, present ... and future.
On the University website Ultimate, you can read an interview with Michel Saloff Coste entitled " Beyond the crisis, think the new civilization . The author was interviewed on the responses of our leaders to the economic crisis. Michel Saloff Coste concerned about short-term measures adopted to try to resolve one of the most serious economic crises of our time. It also concerned with the growing gap between the general evolution of society and modes of governance and management companies. For him, the crisis is a symptom of a much deeper phenomenon, the emergence a "new civilization" which he describes characteristics. Elements of vision, both critical and looking for a 'management of the third millennium. "
Interview with Michel Saloff Coste: "Beyond the crisis, think the" new civilization ". Part One.
- What thoughts, what inspires you the personal analysis and crisis period quite strange that we live in today?
- In such crisis situations, it is imperative to keep his cool. Any reaction "hot" might indeed generate perverse and counterproductive. In particular, is lost in diagnosis, decisions taken to try to remedy the crisis could instead the precipitate and aggravate it. The issue of diagnosis seems now more important than the crisis we are facing is deep.
For my part, the severity of the crisis does not surprise me because in my thoughts presented in "The Management the third millennium", initiated in the 80s and which led to a publication in 1990, I explained that our advanced economies so that they operate would experience a major crisis . For me, the diagnosis is clear: we are experiencing a true "crisis of civilization . We are more likely to share that view, along with Edgar Morin and Thierry Gaudin particular.
- Why go further analysis is now becoming urgent, and the lack of reflection on this topic concern you does it?
- If subprime crisis and the financial system was just more speculation on a background of infinite global growth, then we allocated as in the past. But what makes the seriousness of this crisis is that, precisely, she enrolled in a quite particular. The idea of a global growth of around 5 to 10% allowing us to pay both the debt of our States, the social protection systems - including India and China - in a system that continues to pay all stakeholders, becomes impossible, because that unsustainable for the planet and its inhabitants. The subprime United States, as such, can already be seen as an attempt to distribute purchasing power for the system will survive him and that intermediaries are remunerated "as before".
therefore provide solutions to this crisis only by learning the 30s I feel very inadequate. Of course it is for states to operate all the levers of a Keynesian stimulus - prime the pump of credit, investing heavily in recovery plans for major works and plans to relaunch demand. These three levers are absolutely necessary to avoid blocking the system in the very short term.
But the real issue is not addressed now, both by politicians, banks, enterprises, it would look like an economy that continues to grow and develop in a finite world with limited resources. Because growth, that's life! And what would a civilization based on principles other than that just ended?
Yes, I am deeply worried, because if one ignores the diagnosis, the risk is high that the patient wakes up after the crisis even worse. Today, it is the states that take over banks. With risk, tomorrow, that States enter into bankruptcy ... The urgency is a true reflection starts. Now you only see this reflection dawn nor right nor left.
- What do you recommend in this emergency?
- We are entering a very dangerous time, where nobody, including politicians, leaders of multinational companies, can say, given the multiplicity of reports or warnings, they did not know! Do not take the corners become a major act of irresponsibility. So yes, adopt measures that will allow short term, we all hope to restart the machine temporarily. But then what? On the billions injected Recovery, can not we keep a few ways to think about what is possible and desirable future?
A leader in the world, Nicolas Sarkozy, took an early intuition said it was "refound capitalism" and conduct " another civilization policy . The words are strong, and the diagnosis is correct. But where is the search committee to work on the future model of civilization and economic models associated with it? The 1 trillion into the economy to save the banking system, will they accelerate and precipitate the death of the previous system, such as injection of amphetamines to a dying man?
Some states are on the verge of bankruptcy, and many of them, tomorrow, will have more leeway to act because of their debt. Faced with financial masses placed on the market, economists fear of additional phenomena of hyper-inflation in the medium term. Everyone puts his last shot to save the system! Given the gravity of the situation, it is no longer avail himself of the right or left. Everyone must contribute to rethink the relationship between raw materials, capital, work production. It is this chain which then has to be reinvented.
- Specifically, "The Management the third millennium", you sense the emergence of a new era and you were drawing the outlines. What warning signs allow you to draw this conclusion?
- Making a brief flashback: the foundations of society, commerce and industry have emerged between the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries. They were erected on the ruins of the previous era, that of agriculture-livestock , whose purpose was the maintenance of hierarchical structures in the same (absolute monarchy, aristocracy, corporations ...). The dominant modes of management of agriculture and livestock were the order, control. Now in the eighteenth century, there has been very innovative concepts dawn - Equality, citizenship, principles of separation of powers, and then democracy, reinvented on the basis of Greek democracy.
Therefore, the elite warrior abilities, dedicated to the conquest of territory in the era of agriculture and livestock, have given way to recognition by elites merit and ability to generate money. The competition, bargaining, but also the progress, growth in professionalism and compensation, have taken their place in this society; has the turf war has given way to economic warfare . In parallel, a new state of the world was built around the concept of Nation and the development of democracies.
From the years 70-80, I realized-with other sociologists and philosophers such as Edgar Morin, Thierry Gaudin, President of Prospective 2100 - we had arrived at the end of this era, I started thinking about the contours of the new era that would come to us. What are the substantive elements that characterize it? In the eighteenth century, of course, it was difficult to imagine that man could one day reach the planet's limits.
The state of development of science, the degree of utilization of natural resources, were far to suggest at the time. Now the second part of the twentieth century was signed earlier this awareness. In 1972 exactly, the Club of Rome , bringing together scientists, economists, researchers from 53 countries, issued a report called " Limits to Growth " a landmark and sparked debate.
For the first time through the use of the power of the first supercomputers, experts from many disciplines have been able to extrapolate current trends, and show that infinite growth on a planet to geography and finite resources, was no longer possible, and it would implode to our world by 2100.
Proponents of these theories have been accused of catastrophism. But since force is clear that many measurements and observations collected - accumulation of greenhouse gases, global warming, extinction of many species ... - have instead given their due, and even faster than expected. Everything was already showing in this report, we could not think and operate "business as usual .
- This has also given rise to the current decay . How do you distinguish yourself?
- We can agree on facts, without being entirely on the conclusions to be drawn. Observers were seized example of these developments to condemn the very notion of progress. It's not my point. Progress is a fact, has brought a lot to humanity, in the field of health, hygiene, elevation of living standards and well-being. We can not return completely back on all this. Other trends have also condemned capitalism, accused of all evils. Certainly, the capitalist system has weaknesses and has already gone through many crises.
But again, the question is not so much for me to condemn the model, than to discern what may be the result in a limited world we know and understand what can be in such a context, values, culture, operating principles of a new civilization. This civilization, as I describe in the management of the third millennium like the information society and creating , who just continue the company's trade and industry.
(To be continued ...)
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